Horse Racing Results: Padding Your Bankroll

10.12.2009 | Posted in Horse Racing

National horse racing handicapper Michael Dempsey will attempt to pad his bankroll and yours with his daily column. He will feature at least one Pick 3 or Pick 4 play from a major track along during the week and covers major stakes horse races on the weekends.

Gusty winds and a heavy dose of rain forced Aqueduct to cancel on Wednesday. Horse-players looking for action could not find any at Turfway Park or Hawthorne either, and Beulah Park canceled after running three horse races.

The rain will be gone at the Big A for Thursday, but the forecast still calls for blustery conditions.

I am hoping we get the card in today, because our Late Pick 3 play could send us into the holiday in good shape if we can hit it.

We have five horses in the three horse race sequence at odds of 8/1 or higher, which could pad our bankroll handsomely if we can get a couple of them home first.

Today’s Play of the Day from Aqueduct:

AQU Horse Race 5 Clm $10,000 (2:20 ET)

  • 6 Boss Tiffany 2/1
  • 8 Carmen Camacho 12/1
  • 9 Crazy Thing 3/1
  • 10 Holy Trouble 7/2

Analysis: #6 Boss Tiffany stalked the early pace and finished evenly for fourth against $35,000 claimers, beaten 1 1/2 lengths for the top spot. The mare takes a stiff class drop here in for $10,000 and his four previous speed figs are a good fit at this level. The barn claimed him for $30,000, has won about $70,000 with him, so the class drop here does not look very alarming to me.

Carmen Camacho invades from Finger Lakes where the filly has won 3 of her last 4 starts, all in restricted company. Last out she beat state breds in allowance company and the effort was flattered when the runner up Sweet Prime came back to beat state bred allowance foes on Nov. 13. The filly owns solid early and mid pace numbers and could stick around for a share here at a decent price for a sharp barn.

Wagering

  • WIN: #6 to win at 9/5 or better.
  • EX: 6,8 / 6,8,9,10
  • TRI: 6,8 / 6,8,9,10 / 2,6,8,9,10

Today’s Pick 3 Play from Aqueduct:

Starting in horse race 7: $1: 1,6,8,10 / 1,3 / 4,6,12 = $24

AQU Horse Race 7 Clm $12,500 (3:16 ET)

  • #6 Triple Honor
  • #8 Gimmearoutine
  • #10 Neverbeendancin
  • #1 Volos

Triple Honor was off next to last, came with a good run up the inside to take over the lead in the stretch and could not hold off the winner late. The gelding caught a main track that was playing to inside speed that day. The cut back to six furlongs should suit and although he steps into open company here, he is in the best form of his career at the moment for a low profile outfit.

#8 Gimmearoutine is returning off a three month break, last out making a good late rally to beat $12,500 non winners of a horse race in six months. The gelding was claimed out of the horse race by the Barbara barn that is showing a 1 for 9 mark first off the claim. The gelding is a three time winner on the inner and has beaten better than these. Decent value if this guy goes off near the 8/1 ML.

AQU Horse Race 8 OClm $50,000 N2X (3:44 ET)

  • #3 Saarlight
  • #1 Salt Water Reign

#3 Saarlight was scratched out of a stake o Dec. 5 and lands here in a easier spot facing Alw-2 optional claimers in her first start off a six month break. This gal showed some serious promise by passing her first allowance condition with a 101 Beyer in just her third career start. She has worked quickly for her return for the McLaughlin barn that is solid off the bench, top assistant Magnunson the named trainer.

#1 Salt Water Reign is making her first start since July for the Klesaris barn that is 21% winners with horses coming back off a 61-180 day layoff. The mare has done most of her best running on the inner where she has won 4 of 8 starts. She owns a solid pace profile throughout and has run okay off the bench in the past. She fits here with her best and the 5/1 ML looks fair enough.

AQU Horse Race 9 Clm $15,000 B (4:12 ET)

  • #4 Her Latest Flame
  • #6 Gold Close to Home
  • #12 Golden Guska

#4 Her Latest Flame pressed the early pace and weakened to finish fourth last out versus similar company going seven furlongs. It was his first go on a fast track since July, catching off tracks in six straight starts. I thought we would see something from him and didn’t, but let’s give him one more look here as he makes his second start since Bruce Brown took over the training duties.

#6 Gold Close to Home was up close to the pace and then faded to finish eighth last out trying to get a mile. The cut back in distance here should suit and I like the addition of blinkers to the mix as the gelding makes his third start of his current form cycle. Note the crafty Guillo barn is 37% winners (with a +ROI) when adding the hood.

Price Plays From Aqueduct:
These are price plays to watch today. A small win-place wager is in order or if your pockets are deep enough, use these runners in your trifecta and Pick 3 and Pick 4 wagers. One or two of these could be the difference between a regular day at the track and hitting the IRS window with a signer.

  • Horse Race 1: #6 Ten Carrot Nikki 15/1
  • Horse Race 5: #8 Carmen Camacho 12/1
  • Horse Race 6: #5 Foofs Melody 10/1
  • Horse Race 6: #12 Sweetheartts Kiss 10/1
  • Horse Race 7: #6 Triple Honor 8/1
  • Horse Race 7: #8 Gimmearoutine 8/1
  • Horse Race 7: #1 Volos 10/1
  • Horse Race 8: #9 Star Over Malibu 10/1
  • Horse Race 9: #4 Her Latest Flame 12/1
  • Horse Race 9: #6 Gold Close to Home 15/1